Antigua and Barbuda vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GTM
3 - 1
ATG
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
ATG
0 - 0
JAM
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
USA
3 - 1
ATG
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 2
ATG
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 0
ATG
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GTM
3 - 1
ATG
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
GTM
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SLV
1 - 0
GTM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
GTM
1 - 1
USA
18%
27%
55%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
JAM
2 - 1
GTM
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |