WC Qual. CONCACAF 2nd Round Final
Global 3-8
Antigua and Barbuda vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ATG
2 - 0
KNA
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATG
6 - 1
LCA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 0
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
ABW
0 - 3
ATG
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CUB
1 - 0
VCT
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GUY
0 - 0
CUB
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
GUY
2 - 1
CUB
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
CUB
0 - 5
HND
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
PAN
2 - 2
CUB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |