Antigua GFC vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ANT
3 - 2
JAL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 2
ANT
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LEO
1 - 0
ANT
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
HER
2 - 3
COM
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VEN
4 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HER
2 - 2
JAL
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |