Regionalliga Bayern Round 17

SpVgg Ansbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis

SpVgg Ansbach Viktoria Aschaffenburg
47 ELO 49
18.4% Tilt 19.3%
3304º General ELO ranking 3912º
146º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
36.2%
SpVgg Ansbach
24.1%
Draw
39.7%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.7%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Ansbach
+6%
-13%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Points and table prediction

SpVgg Ansbach
Their league position
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
15º
13º
36
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Würzburger Kickers
82
82
100%
Vilzing
69
69
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
100%
Aubstadt
58
58
100%
Illertissen
56
56
100%
Bayern München II
54
54
100%
FC Augsburg II
50
50
100%
Greuther Fürth II
49
49
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
48
48
100%
Türkgücü München
11º
45
47
10º
100%
Schweinfurt
10º
45
45
11º
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Schalding-Heining
17º
30
30
16º
100%
Buchbach
16º
30
30
17º
100%
Memmingen
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SpVgg Ansbach
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SpVgg Ansbach
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2023
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
68%
17%
15%
45 52 7 0
14 Oct. 2023
AUB
Aubstadt
2 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
60%
21%
20%
45 52 7 0
07 Oct. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
4 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
27%
23%
50%
41 50 9 +4
03 Oct. 2023
BAY
Bayern München II
4 - 2
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
77%
14%
9%
42 57 15 -1
30 Sep. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
22%
21%
56%
41 51 10 +1

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2023
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 0
Aubstadt
AUB
36%
26%
38%
50 53 3 0
14 Oct. 2023
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
46%
24%
31%
50 48 2 0
03 Oct. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
52%
23%
25%
49 49 0 +1
29 Sep. 2023
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
74%
16%
10%
50 37 13 -1
23 Sep. 2023
VIL
Vilzing
2 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
48%
25%
27%
51 51 0 -1