Regionalliga Bayern Round 1

SpVgg Ansbach vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

SpVgg Ansbach Bayreuth SpVgg
60 ELO 62
15.7% Tilt 22.6%
3482º General ELO ranking 2693º
147º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
39%
SpVgg Ansbach
24.3%
Draw
36.7%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.7%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Ansbach
+21%
-16%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

SpVgg Ansbach
Bayreuth SpVgg
Illertissen
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Vilzing
Unterhaching
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2025
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 1
VfR Aalen
VFR
54%
22%
25%
59 58 1 0
09 Jul. 2025
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 7
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
25%
22%
53%
60 71 11 -1
05 Jul. 2025
SGF
Greuther Fürth
6 - 2
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
76%
15%
9%
60 82 22 0
28 Jun. 2025
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 3
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
46%
22%
32%
60 59 1 0
17 May. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
50%
24%
27%
59 63 4 +1

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 3
Chemnitzer
CHE
42%
24%
34%
62 65 3 0
11 Jul. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 4
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
22%
21%
57%
62 74 12 0
06 Jul. 2025
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
7 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
60%
22%
18%
62 75 13 0
05 Jul. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04
6 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
71%
17%
12%
63 78 15 -1
21 Jun. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 6
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
24%
23%
54%
62 54 8 +1