Ankaragücü vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ankaragücü
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 0
ANK
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
YEN
3 - 1
ANK
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ANK
0 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 4
ANK
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ANK
2 - 1
ERZ
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
FEN
4 - 0
ESK
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
FEN
2 - 1
SIV
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
IST
2 - 1
FEN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
RIZ
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
BJK
3 - 3
FEN
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |