Angusht vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
12º
27
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 49 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 38 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 21 |
12º
|
67.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angusht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 0
SOC
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SKC
2 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 1
DMA
17%
26%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
DIN
5 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 0
ANG
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
NAL
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SOC
2 - 2
LEG
26%
22%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 2
SKC
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
3 - 1
DDA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DMA
2 - 0
LEG
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |