Angusht vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
63.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angusht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
ANG
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
NAL
3 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
LEG
3 - 1
ANG
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 1
BIO
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
ROT
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
CHE
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
AFI
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
LEG
1 - 1
CHE
19%
25%
57%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
5 - 0
BIO
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |