Angusht vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
14º
12º
24
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 48 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
31 | 48 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 43 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 41 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 22 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 21 |
13º
|
47.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 7 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angusht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
ANG
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 0
NAL
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SOC
4 - 0
ANG
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 0
SKC
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
AST
2 - 1
LEG
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 2
AST
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
SOC
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
AST
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AST
0 - 0
DMA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |