Angrense vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CIN
4 - 2
ANG
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
SLB
10 - 0
ANG
89%
7%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ANG
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 2
ANA
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 2
PAD
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 78 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAD
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |