Andover vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AFT
3 - 1
AND
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
AND
1 - 9
WHI
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AND
3 - 2
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
AND
1 - 2
ABI
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AND
3 - 2
GOS
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
MAI
0 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HAV
1 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 5
HAY
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
NEW
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |