Europa Conference League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Anderlecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
KVC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EUP
0 - 1
AND
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEU
0 - 2
AND
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
AND
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
CER
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AZA
0 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 1
SCH
69%
18%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TWE
2 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AZA
2 - 1
LAZ
36%
25%
38%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRO
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |