Anderlecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AND
1 - 1
OFI
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 1
AND
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
AND
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
AND
1 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
AND
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 1
PAD
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
6 - 0
KON
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVV
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |