Andelsbuch vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
13º
7º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andelsbuch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 4
AND
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
SCF
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
AND
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AND
0 - 2
AUS
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 0
AND
23%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 1
BIZ
48%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
KBL
2 - 0
HAR
11%
15%
74%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
FCH
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 3
HAR
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
HAR
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |