Ancorense vs AD Chafé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+202%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
ANC
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
BER
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VFR
8 - 1
ANC
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 3
VIA
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ANC
3 - 2
RAI
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AD Chafé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
8 - 0
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 3
CHA
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAC
2 - 2
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
ARC
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 1
CHA
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |