Ancora Aranjuez vs Parque Sureste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancora Aranjuez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FSC
3 - 2
AAR
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
0 - 1
MEJ
51%
21%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TIE
3 - 2
AAR
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 1
AVB
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
AAR
63%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parque Sureste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PSU
1 - 0
ORU
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 5
PSU
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PSU
1 - 0
RVM
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CDI
0 - 3
PSU
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FSC
0 - 1
PSU
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |