Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 1
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
TER
0 - 3
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 0
ANC
26%
27%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 2
PIS
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 2
INT
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |