Ancona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
ANC
39%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
2 - 0
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 0
ASL
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
ASL
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 2
ASL
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |