Ancona vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 1
ANC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
ANC
3 - 1
MOD
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
ANC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ANC
5 - 0
RIM
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
FRO
1 - 0
ANC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
RIM
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 0
LIV
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LIV
5 - 2
FRO
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
EMP
2 - 1
LIV
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIV
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |