Ancona vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
ANC
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 2
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 1
LEC
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 3
LEC
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |