Ancona vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
5 - 1
ANC
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
GEN
4 - 2
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
2 - 1
CAG
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
ACM
25%
24%
50%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 0
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VER
1 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEC
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |