Ancona vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 0
ANC
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ANC
4 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
PES
2 - 3
ANC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 0
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
GEN
3 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 0
GEN
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
GEN
2 - 1
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
PES
1 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
GEN
1 - 1
VNZ
37%
25%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |