Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Saint-Nazaire AF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
67.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+899%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
22
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 4
NIO
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
4 - 0
SNA
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SNA
2 - 1
LSD
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
SNA
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SNA
2 - 1
CHA
27%
24%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |