Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
33
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 3
USS
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 2
SPG
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LSD
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
4 - 3
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SNA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |