Ancienne Château-Gontier vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
14º
14º
33
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 3
USS
7%
14%
80%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 2
SPG
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LSD
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
4 - 3
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SNA
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |