Anapolina vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
ANA
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 1
ANA
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOI
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ATL
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 2
ANA
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUZ
74%
19%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
VIL
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CRI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
FFL
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |