CN Seniores Eliminatorias Group D - Relegation Round 5

Anadia vs Estarreja analysis

Anadia Estarreja
38 ELO 31
-9.7% Tilt 3.3%
5508º General ELO ranking 22698º
108º Country ELO ranking 425º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Anadia
21.8%
Draw
18.3%
Estarreja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
Anadia
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
Estarreja
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Anadia
+37%
-9%
Estarreja

ELO progression

Anadia
Estarreja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Anadia
Anadia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2014
ESP
Espinho
0 - 1
Anadia
ANA
58%
22%
20%
38 43 5 0
02 Mar. 2014
ANA
Anadia
0 - 0
Cinfães
CIN
44%
24%
31%
38 39 1 0
23 Feb. 2014
ANA
Anadia
0 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
46%
24%
30%
38 38 0 0
16 Feb. 2014
GRI
Grijó
2 - 2
Anadia
ANA
42%
24%
34%
38 38 0 0
26 Jan. 2014
ANA
Anadia
3 - 3
São João Ver
SAO
37%
26%
37%
38 42 4 0

Matches

Estarreja
Estarreja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2014
EST
Estarreja
1 - 3
Grijó
GRI
33%
25%
43%
31 39 8 0
02 Mar. 2014
LUS
Lusitano FCV
3 - 0
Estarreja
EST
65%
20%
15%
33 44 11 -2
23 Feb. 2014
EST
Estarreja
0 - 3
Bustelo
BUS
35%
25%
40%
34 41 7 -1
16 Feb. 2014
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 0
Estarreja
EST
51%
23%
26%
36 37 1 -2
26 Jan. 2014
EST
Estarreja
0 - 0
Bustelo
BUS
36%
25%
39%
35 41 6 +1