Amurrio vs Vulcano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 1
AMU
43%
26%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AMU
1 - 1
CDS
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 3
AMU
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMU
1 - 0
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CFR
0 - 4
AMU
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VUL
1 - 2
IRU
12%
18%
71%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
VUL
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VUL
2 - 2
ZUI
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VUL
2 - 3
SLV
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ZAR
4 - 1
VUL
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |