SKU Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
11º
8º
41
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKU Amstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SKN
1 - 1
AMS
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 0
SVS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VOI
1 - 2
AMS
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 4
AMS
16%
18%
67%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 2
KAP
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 2
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STU
0 - 0
SWB
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STU
4 - 2
BRI
39%
23%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
STU
2 - 2
ADS
27%
21%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |