Amriswil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AMR
0 - 3
UZW
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
AMR
1 - 2
KOS
15%
20%
66%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 3
AMR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AMR
2 - 4
FRA
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
AMR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 0
FCA
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
KRI
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 2
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
FCA
18%
19%
63%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |