Ammanford AFC vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PON
4 - 0
AAF
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 4
CAM
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 2
LID
59%
18%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 7
AAF
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
3 - 0
AAF
75%
15%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
RIS
1 - 1
GOY
19%
19%
62%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
5 - 0
RIS
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
RIS
3 - 0
UND
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
RIS
83%
11%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
RIS
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |