Amiens AC vs USL Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 2
AAC
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAC
1 - 0
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
AAC
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AAC
3 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
3 - 1
AAC
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
USL Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 0
AVI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 3
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 0
AUB
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 3
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |