OFC Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Amicale vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
85.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amicale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAF
2 - 0
AMI
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
1 - 2
BAF
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
HEK
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
SOL
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HEK
0 - 0
AMI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AMD
2 - 3
WAI
5%
10%
85%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
WAI
3 - 1
AMD
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 1
WAI
6%
10%
84%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |