Americano vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
AME
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
TIG
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SCR
1 - 2
AME
18%
23%
60%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
DUQ
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 1
AME
24%
24%
51%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 1
SFC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
BAN
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 1
VIL
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |