Americano vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
SER
1 - 4
AME
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
OLA
0 - 0
AME
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
BAN
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
COR
0 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |