América vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
QRO
0 - 0
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
LDA
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
5 - 1
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIJ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |