América vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 2
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 0
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
TIG
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
ALT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATS
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
PAC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIJ
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |