América vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
SMI
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEO
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
TIJ
31%
29%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |