Copa Libertadores . Last 16

Global 5-4

América vs Flamengo analysis

América Flamengo
79 ELO 83
5.9% Tilt 2.4%
209º General ELO ranking 53º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.7%
América
26.2%
Draw
28%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
América
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América
+13%
+4%
Flamengo

ELO progression

América
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América
América
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2008
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 0
América
AME
40%
26%
34%
80 77 3 0
21 Apr. 2008
AME
América
0 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
53%
24%
24%
80 80 0 0
18 Apr. 2008
UCO
U. Católica
2 - 0
América
AME
36%
24%
41%
81 76 5 -1
14 Apr. 2008
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 2
América
AME
53%
24%
23%
81 83 2 0
06 Apr. 2008
AME
América
1 - 3
Pachuca
PAC
47%
25%
28%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2008
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
48%
25%
27%
82 83 1 0
24 Apr. 2008
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Bolognesi Tacna
BOL
78%
14%
8%
82 67 15 0
13 Apr. 2008
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
55%
23%
22%
83 82 1 -1
10 Apr. 2008
CIE
Cienciano
0 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
41%
25%
34%
82 75 7 +1
06 Apr. 2008
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
52%
25%
23%
82 81 1 0
X