América TO vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.7%
77%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UBE
3 - 0
AME
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
AME
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
TUP
24%
25%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
AME
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
85%
11%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CRZ
6 - 0
FRA
92%
7%
2%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
URT
1 - 1
CRZ
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
VOL
1 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
66%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TUP
0 - 4
CRZ
13%
24%
63%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |