Paulista B 2nd round - Group stage Round 1

América SP vs Flamengo SP analysis

América SP Flamengo SP
25 ELO 39
-9.7% Tilt -6.7%
24119º General ELO ranking 8724º
702º Country ELO ranking 363º
ELO win probability
16.9%
América SP
23.4%
Draw
59.6%
Flamengo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
América SP
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
59.6%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América SP
-3%
-16%
Flamengo SP

ELO progression

América SP
Flamengo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América SP
América SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
CAT
Catanduva
1 - 1
América SP
AME
61%
20%
19%
24 37 13 0
17 Jun. 2023
AME
América SP
2 - 1
Inter de Bebedouro
BEB
20%
24%
56%
22 35 13 +2
10 Jun. 2023
AME
América SP
2 - 1
Batatais
BAT
32%
24%
44%
21 25 4 +1
04 Jun. 2023
FRA
Francana
1 - 0
América SP
AME
71%
18%
11%
21 39 18 0
27 May. 2023
AME
América SP
0 - 2
Taquaritinga
CAT
18%
24%
58%
22 37 15 -1

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 1
Atlético Mogi
MOG
77%
15%
8%
40 15 25 0
17 Jun. 2023
MAN
Manthiqueira
0 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
24%
25%
51%
39 29 10 +1
10 Jun. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
Guarulhos
GUA
61%
21%
18%
39 29 10 0
03 Jun. 2023
SJS
CA Joseense
2 - 2
Flamengo SP
FLA
38%
25%
37%
39 32 7 0
27 May. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
67%
20%
14%
39 26 13 0