América RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 4
ARN
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
SDJ
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ARN
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 0
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POT
1 - 4
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
POT
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |