América RN vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ARN
1 - 0
PPE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CEA
1 - 1
ARN
44%
30%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
RIV
5 - 1
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
GOI
0 - 0
ARN
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 1
CEA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 2
PPE
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
ABC
5 - 1
FLA
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |