América RN vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ARN
4 - 3
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FER
4 - 0
ARN
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CAB
1 - 0
ARN
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
ARN
2 - 1
MAD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FER
4 - 0
ARN
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FER
0 - 3
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
VIL
5 - 1
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
CRI
2 - 1
FER
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
AVA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |