América RJ vs Tigres do Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 8
AME
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
CER
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 5
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
BON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 4
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres do Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 1
SAM
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ANG
4 - 0
TIG
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GOY
2 - 1
TIG
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 1
TIG
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |