América RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AME
5 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
AME
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
AUD
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CMA
1 - 0
AME
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 1
ANG
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FRI
0 - 1
AFC
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 0
DUQ
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FRI
3 - 1
GON
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |