Serie A - Segunda Temporada Regular. Jor. 22

América Quito vs Guayaquil City analysis

América Quito Guayaquil City
68 ELO 64
2.9% Tilt -5%
28648º General ELO ranking 1184º
46º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
52%
América Quito
25.1%
Draw
22.9%
Guayaquil City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
América Quito
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
Guayaquil City
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América Quito
+6%
-21%
Guayaquil City

ELO progression

América Quito
Guayaquil City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América Quito
América Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2019
MAC
Macará
1 - 0
América Quito
AME
65%
21%
14%
67 79 12 0
08 Aug. 2019
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
América Quito
AME
64%
22%
14%
67 81 14 0
03 Aug. 2019
AME
América Quito
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
26%
26%
48%
67 80 13 0
30 Jul. 2019
AME
América Quito
3 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
39%
27%
34%
65 69 4 +2
19 Jul. 2019
LIG
Liga de Quito
1 - 0
América Quito
AME
70%
19%
11%
66 80 14 -1

Matches

Guayaquil City
Guayaquil City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2019
RIV
Guayaquil City
3 - 0
CD Olmedo
OLM
32%
27%
41%
64 70 6 0
03 Aug. 2019
FAM
Fuerza Amarilla
0 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
46%
27%
28%
63 61 2 +1
31 Jul. 2019
AUC
Aucas
0 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
64%
21%
15%
63 72 9 0
27 Jul. 2019
RIV
Guayaquil City
1 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
20%
27%
53%
62 80 18 +1
21 Jul. 2019
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 2
Guayaquil City
RIV
75%
17%
8%
61 80 19 +1
X