América Mineiro vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
AME
3 - 0
AMF
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
COM
0 - 0
AMF
40%
28%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
AMF
1 - 1
REM
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
AMF
2 - 0
RIO
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1975 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
59%
24%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
61%
24%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ATP
2 - 4
PAL
38%
27%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
PAL
2 - 0
CEA
69%
20%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
PAL
3 - 1
FLU
69%
21%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |