Copa Libertadores . Jor. 4

América de Cali vs At. Nacional analysis

América de Cali At. Nacional
81 ELO 76
-20.9% Tilt -10.2%
356º General ELO ranking 353º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.3%
América de Cali
21.2%
Draw
16.4%
At. Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
América de Cali
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
At. Nacional
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América de Cali
-8%
-9%
At. Nacional

ELO progression

América de Cali
At. Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América de Cali
América de Cali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 1991
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 1
América de Cali
AME
18%
24%
58%
81 64 17 0
26 Feb. 1991
MAR
CS Marítimo
0 - 1
América de Cali
AME
8%
18%
74%
81 29 52 0
22 Feb. 1991
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 2
América de Cali
AME
45%
25%
30%
81 77 4 0
12 Oct. 1988
AME
América de Cali
1 - 1
Nacional
NAC
44%
26%
30%
80 84 4 +1
05 Oct. 1988
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
América de Cali
AME
67%
19%
14%
81 84 3 -1

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 1991
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
30%
26%
44%
76 64 12 0
05 Mar. 1991
MAR
CS Marítimo
1 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
12%
23%
65%
76 29 47 0
22 Feb. 1991
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 2
América de Cali
AME
45%
25%
30%
77 81 4 -1
26 Sep. 1990
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
60%
22%
18%
76 79 3 +1
20 Sep. 1990
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
47%
24%
29%
77 79 2 -1
X