Campeonato de Portugal North Round 15

Amarante vs Vilaverdense FC analysis

Amarante Vilaverdense FC
45 ELO 40
1.1% Tilt -8.5%
3534º General ELO ranking 5787º
61º Country ELO ranking 121º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Amarante
22.4%
Draw
20.4%
Vilaverdense FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Amarante
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.4%
Win probability
Vilaverdense FC
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amarante
-38%
-57%
Vilaverdense FC

ELO progression

Amarante
Vilaverdense FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amarante
Amarante
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2013
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 2
Amarante
AMA
73%
17%
10%
43 56 13 0
29 Dec. 2012
AMA
Amarante
0 - 0
Joane
JOA
72%
16%
12%
43 31 12 0
22 Dec. 2012
GON
Gondomar
0 - 0
Amarante
AMA
60%
24%
17%
43 54 11 0
16 Dec. 2012
AMA
Amarante
2 - 3
Boavista
BOA
35%
26%
39%
43 52 9 0
09 Dec. 2012
AMA
Amarante
2 - 2
Chaves
CHA
32%
26%
42%
43 54 11 0

Matches

Vilaverdense FC
Vilaverdense FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2013
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
2 - 1
Varzim
VAR
22%
27%
52%
40 58 18 0
29 Dec. 2012
TIR
Tirsense
1 - 1
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
76%
17%
8%
39 58 19 +1
22 Dec. 2012
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
1 - 0
Infesta
INF
64%
20%
17%
39 30 9 0
16 Dec. 2012
FAF
Fafe
1 - 1
Vilaverdense FC
VIL
74%
17%
9%
38 55 17 +1
09 Dec. 2012
VIL
Vilaverdense FC
2 - 1
Ribeirão
RIB
23%
25%
53%
35 51 16 +3