Amarante vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
AMA
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRO
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +4 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |